Federal Reserve
Higher-for-Longer Rates Are Choking Apartment Supply, Setting Up a Multifamily Rent Rebound Before 2030
Federal Reserve rate hikes have cut U.S. apartment construction starts roughly in half while renter demand keeps running hot, a mismatch that rental...
Brightshore’s Tom Shapiro: Rate Shock Sours Housing as Data Centers Lift Industrial
Brightshore Capital founder Tom Shapiro told CNBC that a September rate hike and 30-year mortgages near 7.5 percent have soured both the for-sale...
Thornberg Warns Bay Area Housing Faces ‘Bust Side’ as Mortgage Rates Climb Past 7%
Speaking at Star One Credit Union's third annual Bay Area Real Estate Forecast in Campbell, Beacon Economics founder Christopher Thornberg argued that an...
Wells Fargo Sees Higher Rate Floor Squeezing Bay Area Housing as AI Buildout Powers Data Centers
Wells Fargo's latest economic outlook argues that a structurally higher floor under long-term interest rates will keep pressure on Northern California housing and...
McNellis: Economists vs. Flipping Coins
Economist: {noun}: someone good with numbers but without enough personality to be an accountant.
Fed Holds Rates Steady in July With Three Dissents as Goldman Sees No Hike Through 2026
The Federal Reserve left its benchmark rate unchanged at its July meeting despite the closest call on a hike in three decades, offering...
Watch Rents Rise
By John Cumbelich Our firm recently completed a Q2 survey of the region’s 25 flagship Power Centers, in which we reported that occupancy...
Wells Fargo Sees Rates Higher for Longer as AI Data Centers Anchor Commercial Construction
Wells Fargo's latest U.S. outlook warns that stubborn inflation and a more hawkish Federal Reserve will keep borrowing costs elevated into 2027, sustaining...
Goldman Cuts US Recession Odds to 15% as Oil Retreats, but Warns of Hawkish Fed and Stretched AI Valuations
Goldman Sachs has lowered its 12-month US recession probability to the long-term norm of 15 percent following a US-Iran agreement that pulled energy...
Wells Fargo: Fed Poised for Extended Hold as Warsh Era Opens Amid Sticky Inflation
Wells Fargo economists expect the Federal Reserve to sit on the sidelines for an extended period as new Chair Kevin Warsh takes the...
Allen Matkins/UCLA Anderson Survey Finds CRE Distress Has Peaked as Deals Close Despite War-Driven Rate Spike
The Summer 2026 Allen Matkins/UCLA Anderson Forecast survey of California commercial real estate sentiment found that industry distress has peaked and transactions are...
U.S. Economy Faces Latest Supply Shock as Iran Oil Disruption Tests Fed’s Inflation Resolve
UCLA Anderson Forecast projects 2 percent GDP growth and headline inflation climbing to 4 percent by year-end as AI investment and fiscal stimulus...
